Evidence of Nosedive Suggests Boeing Not at Fault in China Eastern Crash

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A passenger stands inside a terminal in front of a China Eastern plane at Shanghai Hongqiao International Airport.


Qilai Shen/Bloomberg

Boeing

shares rose on news that the tragic crash of a 737-800 operated by

China Eastern Airlines

likely wasn’t caused by a plane malfunction.

The Wall Street Journal, citing U.S. officials, reported Tuesday that the crash of China Eastern flight 5375, on its way from Kunming to Guangzhou, was most likely due to an intentional nosedive. Who might have put the plane into a nosedive, if that is what happened, still isn’t known.

Boeing (ticker: BA) declined to comment on the report. The National Transportation Safety Board, one entity that investigates airline accidents, also declined, saying it doesn’t comment on investigations being led by other organizations. Where the officials cited by the Journal worked wasn’t mentioned.

China Eastern Airlines (CEA) didn’t respond to requests for comment.

Shares of both companies were higher in Tuesday trading, but so was the overall market. China Eastern stock gained about 1%. The


S&P 500

and


Dow Jones Industrial Average

rose about 1.1% and 0.6%, respectively.

Boeing shares have gained 4.9% to about $130.13. Shares added roughly $3 shortly after the publication of the Journal article. Shares have hung on to roughly $2 of that gain, even as the S&P 500 has slipped about 20 points from its daily high.

Intentional actions taken by crew members to cause an accident are incredibly rare. A 2015 search by the International Civil Aviation Organization and the Bureau of Enquiry and Analysis for Civil Aviation Safety found 12 situations since 1980 that might fit that description.

The 2015 search was conducted in conjunction with an investigation into the 2015 crash of a Germanwings fight that was attributed to the actions of the co-pilot.

Boeing stock dropped roughly $12 at its lowest point the trading day following the China Eastern crash. Shares closed March 21 at $185.90, down about $7, or 3.6%. Shares recovered most of that loss the next day and eclipsed the pre-crash high about a week later.

Boeing stock might have the potential to gain a couple more dollars as any overhang associated with the crash fades away, although a $2 to $4 move looks about right. Coming into Tuesday trading, there hadn’t been many updates since the end of March. The Civil Aviation Administration of China issued a preliminary report on April 26, but it didn’t contain a lot of new information.

Shares of both China Eastern and Boeing have traded lower since the crash.

China Eastern stock has lost about 12%. Boeing shares have lost about 32%. The crash, however, probably isn’t to blame for much of either drop. The S&P 500 is down about 9% over that span. Boeing’s first-quarter earnings report disappointed investors, hurting shares, while a resurgence of Covid-19 in China has hurt demand for air travel, weighing on China Eastern stock.

The earnings disappointment came on April 27. Shares finished down 7.5% that day.

Write to Al Root at allen.root@dowjones.com